Horizon 2035

Recognising that our health and care services are delivered by people with diverse skills working in different, evolving roles, Horizon 2035 has been commissioned by the Department of Health to help consider how the challenges and opportunities presented in our big picture challenges work may combine in the future and impact the health, public health and social care workforce.

Launched in September 2013, the outcomes of this work aimed to help ensure that our health and care services can meet the challenges facing them, help to avoid boom-and-bust workforce planning outcomes, and ultimately provide better value for tax payers. To deliver these 20-year views, the CfWI identified a series of activities that the horizon scanning team together with sector experts conducted.

In July 2014 we published a progress update. This report looked at three main areas of work. The first - defining the health and care system -  considers the context of the workforce sectors; their size, structure and how they can be understood together.

The second - generating scenarios - identified the crucial forces shaping the current and future workforce system in order to generate consistent future scenarios.

The final area of work - modelling demand and supply - quantified the demand and supply of the health, social care and public health workforce and then considered the quantitative implications of the scenarios.

In September 2014, the CfWI  published Horizon 2035: The Context, a presentation designed to provide context for our research activities and outputs in the Horizon 2035 programme. This Prezi sets the scene for the health, social care and public health workforce by visualising workforce and wider system data, and identifying major legislative changes. By telling a story of the last 20 years we can, through collaboration with sector experts and representatives, better consider the next 20 years of this large and important workforce system.


In March 2015, the CfWI published Horizon 2035 scenarios, a set of six infographics summarising six challenging, yet plausible scenarios that were generated by key industry experts to help shape our Horizon 2035 programme looking at how the future health, public health and social care workforce might look in 2035.

In August 2015, interim findings from Horizon 2035 in Horizon 2035 - Future demand for skills: initial results were published. The progress update included four key messages to help stakeholders to recognise that our health and care services are delivered by people with diverse skills working in different, evolving roles which will change over the next 20 years. While the projections contain carefully sourced assumptions reflecting rigorous consultation with stakeholders, they were presented to inform the debate on health and care workforce futures, not to be a definitive statement of what will occur between now and 2035.

 

 

View this video to see an example of this work in action:

Read the launch paper at http://www.cfwi.org.uk/publications/horizon-20352019-an-initiative-to-identify-20-year-views-of-the-health-public-health-and-social-care-workforce-1.

Research has also been published looking at international efforts. The question we are addressing in this paper is: are there examples of models of care in other countries that are similar to the big picture challenges facing the health and care workforce in England, and therefore should be considered in plausible scenarios for Horizon 2035?

Find out more at http://www.cfwi.org.uk/publications/horizon-2035-international-responses-to-big-picture-challenges