The research and development team

The research and development team

In 2016, the CfWI Research & Development team included the following people:

Head of Research and Development - Dr Graham Willis

Graham was Head of Research and Development at the Centre for Workforce Intelligence (CfWI) in England. He leads the development of their workforce planning methodology, including the CfWI’s innovative robust workforce planning framework.

Graham has over 30 years’ experience in systems thinking and modelling complex systems to understand the implications of policy decisions. He is a former biophysicist, working on the conformational analysis of anti-allergic drugs, and as a member of BT Research Laboratories was responsible for multimedia modelling and simulation.

Graham has a particular interest in futures thinking and scenario generation, and in robust decision making using system dynamics modelling to simulate the uncertainty of the future, and to stress-test interventions.

The UK System Dynamics Society awarded him the Steer Davies Gleave prize in 2013 for a project to inform decisions about the number of doctors and dentists to train in order to meet future workforce requirements.

Other CfWI staff in the Research and Development team

Project Manager – Alison Harbord

Analysts & Consultants – Shyam Lamba, Tom Lyscom, John Fellows,

Editor – Joe Fernandez

Contributing Experts who informed work

Dr Siôn Cave

Siôn is a technical consultant from Decision Analysis Services Ltd (DAS). DAS is a consultancy with expertise in solving strategic challenges using systems modelling and simulation methods. Siôn is expert in the application of systems thinking and system dynamics, and is a fellow of the Operational Research Society. Siôn has worked on projects for clients across the public and private sector. Sectors he has developed policy models for include health, justice, defence, education and technology. Siôn is providing the CfWI with specialist system dynamics and systems thinking support.

Professor Michael Pidd

Professor Pidd is based in the Department of Management Science at Lancaster University and is known for his work in modelling and analysis, most recently in healthcare systems improvement. He has served as President of the Operational Research Society, and is a Companion of the Operational Research Society and a Fellow of the British Academy of Management and an Academician of the Academy of Social Sciences. He has also written a number of publications on modelling, computer simulation and performance measurement.

Professor Jim Buchan

Professor Buchan is based at the School of Health Sciences, Queen Margaret University, Edinburgh. He is also a Policy Associate at the European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies, part of the World Health Organisation (WHO), Brussels, and Adjunct Professor at the University of Technology, Sydney, Australia. Jim has had wide experience of practice, consultancy and policy research on health sector human resources and has held roles such as senior HR manager at national level in the NHS in Scotland, and HR specialist at the WHO.

Professor Tony O’Hagan

Professor Tony O’Hagan is a Chartered Statistician and Emeritus Professor based in the Department of Probability and Statistics at the University of Sheffield. He has been able to serve the academic statistics community in a variety of capacities, including on the Research Section Committee and the Council of the Royal Statistical Society, as well as on the Board of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis. He has also given long-standing commitment to research and practice in elicitation by developing the Sheffield Elicitation Framework (SHELF).

Professor Martin Kunc

Dr Martin Kunc is an Associate Professor of Operational Research and Management Science at the University of Warwick. He has a wealth of experience including as an independent consultant in a range of sectors, including working on projects in media, pharmaceutical, financial services, consumer goods, and the cement and wine industry. He is an expert in strategic modelling for evaluating strategic decisions in human resources, marketing, performance measurement, supply chain, and has experience of working on projects evaluating regional innovation systems (such as the World Bank and the role of universities).