Horizon 2035 scenarios

Horizon 2035 scenarios

On 11 March, we released six new infographics summarising six plausible scenarios that were generated by key industry experts to help shape our Horizon 2035 programme looking at how the future health, public health and social care workforce might look in 2035.

Using the structured input of a cross-section of expert stakeholders, we have developed six high-impact, challenging but plausible scenarios.  They help us to understand the key factors affecting the system and how they influence each other.

However, the scenarios are not statements of policy, nor do they represent how the CfWI, Department of Health or our stakeholders expect the future to unfold. They are simply potential futures that could be created when considering how influential trends might plausibly combine together to create scenarios.

Click on the images below to download full versions of the infographics.

Enterprising service users

High levels of self-care in the population, widespread adoption of technology across the system, a positive economic environment and low levels of workforce flexibility combine to produce highly specialised, yet fragmented, services.

Inequality pervades

Poor economic growth, slow progress in service innovation and an inflexible workforce combine to dramatically increase health and care inequality and lead to lower levels of workforce retention.

The professionals

High investment in technology and low workforce flexibility lead to a specialised but fragmented system. Overall population wellbeing decreases with service users unable to self-care and are frustrated by the level of complication in services.

The workforce adapts to stagnation

Nimble workforce adapts to challenging situations of over-subscribed services and disengaged service-users by bolstering generalist skills, developing multi-disciplinary working and specialisation in social care.

Win - win

As a result of a very flexible workforce, positive economic conditions, strong engagement of the population in their care and high levels of technology, both the workforce and service users benefit from joined up care and services.

Safety-net services

Workforce resilience is severely tested. Here, health and care inequality increases dramatically as a tiered system emerges characterised by under-capacity public services that can only passively address the most severe needs, and expanded private provision for the better-off.






Find out more about our Horizon 2035 programme on the Horizon Scanning Hub.