Forecasting the adult social care workforce: a summary report of workforce intelligence
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Forecasting the adult social care workforce: a summary report of workforce intelligence

This report describes work undertaken throughout 2014/15 by the CfWI to assess the current shape of the adult social care workforce in England and forecast future requirements. The project aims to assess the future supply of, and demand for, the adult social care workforce in England over the next 15 years.

Our report suggests:

  • Based on Office of National Statistics (ONS) forecasts from 2012, , the number of people aged 65 and older will increase by 36% to 13.2 million people in 2030 compared with an overall 3% rise in the 18 to 64 year-old population.
  • Analysis by the CfWI is forecasting that the adult social care workforce will need to grow from 1.2 million to almost 1.6 million (FTE) to meet a 33% growth in adult social care demand by 2030. This is more than the 16% total increase in the adult social care workforce forecast by 2030 that the CfWI is predicting will occur in the same period.

The research also suggests that people with learning difficulties are also living longer requiring social care services for longer for which the social care workforce will need to grow accordingly – demand is set to particularly increase for residential and nursing care.

Full data sources and breakdowns are available in the accompanying technical report.We have also published an infographic, which summarises the key messages and findings from this report.

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