Modelling the effect of multimorbidity on the demand for health services in England - Technical paper
Our research suggested:
- Chronic disease multimorbidity and the presence of multiple long-term conditions are important in explaining the demand for health services such as GP consultations, outpatient visits and the number of nights spent in hospital.
- Using different measures of multimorbidity according to severity, can obtain similar results; people with more than one chronic illness utilise more health services compared to people with a single chronic disease. These results may have important implications for estimating future demand for different types of health services and for workforce planning.
- With co-existing chronic illnesses becoming more widespread in the population as a whole, workforce planning will be essential to meet the increased demand for health services that accompanies increasing multimorbidity.
This technical paper is an adapted version of an MSc Health Economics dissertation by a student who worked with the CfWI over the summer of 2014.