Policy analysis is a thread that runs throughout the Centre for Workforce Intelligence (CfWI) robust workforce planning framework, from the horizon scanning phase through to scenario generation and workforce modelling. The literature review in this technical paper provides an introduction to the subject of long-term policy analysis and its specific NHS workforce planning context in the UK, allowing the reader to clearly see the links between the CfWI’s methodology and the wider robust decision-making process.
In the CfWI’s robust workforce planning methodology, the engagement of subject matter experts and their continual consultation throughout rigorous horizon scanning and scenario generation phases allows the CfWI to have confidence in the models developed during the later workforce modelling phase. Research and output validation further underpin the value of the policy analysis results these exercises deliver. This process has enabled the CfWI to execute a number of successful workforce policy studies. This technical paper explores how additional focus on retrospective policy testing and the adoption of a wider range of scenarios could add further value to the CfWI’s workforce planning research.