Securing the future workforce supply: general surgery stocktake
Findings contained in the stocktake include the following:
- There will be a 67 per cent growth in expected patient demand for general surgical services by 2029. However, this is likely to be a high estimate (at the top end of any likely range of estimates).
- Workforce supply and expected patient demand for general surgery are likely to remain broadly in balance over the projection period, provided the general surgery ST3 intake for England (excluding vascular surgery) is maintained at around 111 trainees per year.
- The number of general surgery CCT holders (excluding the vascular element) is forecast to grow to around 2,660 (FTE) by 2029, a 67 per cent increase on 2013 level. Projected headcount levels would increase by 71 per cent to around 2,800 by 2029.